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Pardee Logo International Futures at the Pardee Center

International Futures Help System

Specific Risk Factors


For each of the proximate risk factors used in the IFs model, we develop “full” model formulations (our best forecasts using IFs variables) and “distal” models (using just income and education) in order to compute the two PAFs described above.  The IFs system includes full formulations and proximate risk analysis for selected risk categories: childhood undernutrition, adult body mass index and related obesity, unsafe water and sanitation, indoor air pollution associated with solid fuel use, outdoor urban air pollution, and smoking.