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Josef Korbel School of International StudiesSié Chéou-Kang Center for International Security & Diplomacy

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Student and Alumni Publications

Student and Alumni Publications

Students who do research with the Sié Center are encouraged to develop practical and professional writing skills. Beyond academic works, students have the opportunity to translate research into relevant pieces for policy and practitioner audiences. Recent student and alumni publications are listed below.


Five Nonviolent Resistance Movements to Watch in 2018

By PhD Research Fellow Jonathon Pinckney

January 12th, 2018

Political Violence @ a Glance— Where are we likely to see major nonviolent resistance movements in 2018? The question is difficult to answer because major nonviolent resistance campaigns Just ask analysts of Middle Eastern politics in the years prior to 2011, or the regimes of Eastern Europe in the days leading up to the revolutions of 1989. They do not have similar preconditions to civil wars, and even complex models incorporating the best of multiple theoretical approaches have limited predictive power. Scholars of civil resistance tend to point to this fact as evidence for the importance of agency in nonviolent action, and the ability of nonviolent resistance to achieve major political transformation even in highly unfavorable conditions, while others point to the crucial role played by hidden preferences that are only revealed when the revolution has already begun. In many cases, what is more important than the external conditions themselves is how activists perceive and frame conditions, as scholars have argued was the case in Iran in the lead-up to the 1979 revolution and partially for the civil right movement in the United States.


Can the OAS Respond to Constitutional Coups and Democratic Erosion?

By Sié Fellow Adam Ratzlaff

October 24, 2016

Southern PulseRather than viewing OAS actions as an attempt to pursue U.S. interests or as hypocritical, it is better to critique the challenges the OAS has in invoking the Democratic Charter. Despite the challenges facing the OAS in promoting democracy in the Americas, it remains the most legitimate actor in pursuing the democracy agenda in the region. In order for the OAS to effectively defend democracy in Latin America against evolving threats, the Democratic Charter must permit the organization to evolve to meet these challenges.


It is Essential that America's Word Be Good

By Sié Fellow Adam Ratzlaff

October 17, 2016

Charged Affairs— While open debate and dissent are important and identifying characteristics of the U.S. political process, politicians need to understand the implications of their actions on the standing of their country on the international stage.


Making or Breaking Nonviolent Discipline in Civil Resistance Movements

By PhD Research Fellow Jonathan Pinckney

October 17, 2016

A central question in the study and practice of civil resistance is how nonviolent movements can maintain nonviolent discipline among their members. What factors encourage and sustain nonviolent discipline, particularly in the face of violent repression? While several scholars have suggested answers to these questions to date, the answers have largely remained ad hoc and have not been systematically tested. This monograph addresses these deficits in the literature by offering a unified theory of nonviolent discipline. This theory provides a helpful tool for better understanding how nonviolent discipline is created, sustained and shaped by repression. Following the theory, the monograph presents two tests of the effects of several influences on nonviolent discipline. The first is on the impact of patterns of repression, history of civil resistance, and campaign leadership and structure on nonviolent discipline. The second is a comparison of three civil resistance campaigns from the post-Communist "Color Revolutions" in Serbia, Georgia and Kyrgyzstan.


Drones

The Jevons Paradox and the Economy of Drone Strikes

By PhD Research Fellow Christopher Shay

June 24, 2016

Political Violence @ a Glance— The killing in May of Mullah Akhtar Muhammad Mansour, the late leader of the Afghani Taliban, surprised observers. The US drone strike that killed Mansour occurred in the province of Balochistan, well outside the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) in which the US has previously operated with the tacit consent of the Pakistani government. Besides killing the Taliban commander, the strike also killed his civilian taxi driver, Mohammad Azam, whose family has angrily demanded "justice" from the American and Pakistani government. This incident signals that the American drone program continues to expand into new areas of operation, and that these expansions will continue to take a toll on civilian populations. It remains to be seen whether this development will enhance or detract from American counter-insurgency efforts. The Jevons Dilemma, a paradox theorized during Britain's Industrial Revolution, illustrates how the drone program's greatest advantage – its precision – might lead policymakers into an inadvertent blunder. 


Burundi

Burundi on the Brink?

By Sié Fellow Patrick Pierson

June 3, 2016

Political Violence @ a Glance— Back in November, Barbara Walter shared a powerful post on the potential for another mass atrocity in Burundi. Since then, an ongoing debate has surfaced as to whether or not the violence in Burundi is headed towards genocide (some say yes, others no). While this debate may possess a certain degree of merit, I would like to suggest that it is the wrong question to be asking at present. Here's a few reasons why. 


Mining

Expansion of mining risks a Naxalite resurgence in India’s Red Corridor

By PhD Research Fellow Christopher Shay

May 4, 2016

IISS Voices— The mining of bauxite, iron and other minerals in India has become a contentious issue. The village of Jerrela in Visakhapatnam district, Andhra Pradesh, became a flash point in January 2016, when militants of the Communist Party of India–Maoist (henceforth, CPI–Maoist) killed a sarpanch (village headman) for supporting the local government’s efforts to open a bauxite mine. The killing triggered a wave of repression by state security forces, which allegedly illegally detained civilian anti-mining activists from the area. CPI–Maoist quickly seized on the actions of the security forces as fodder for its recruitment propaganda. India’s Maoist (Naxalite) insurgency may therefore benefit from increased influence not only in the Jerrela area, but in other tribal communities that oppose mining concerns. These events could be replicated throughout the ‘Red Corridor’ in east India, meaning that attempts to reap the economic benefits of mineral reserves by opening new mines may reignite the Naxalite insurgency in other communities where anti-mining sentiments are prevalent.


Piracy

Modeling Piracy: A Bridge Between the Academic and Policy Communities

By Sié Fellow Andrew Scott

March 1, 2016

Denver Dialogues— This January, the Sié Chéou-Kang Center for International Security and Diplomacy hosted the local non-profit organization Oceans Beyond Piracy (OBP) as a part of the Carnegie Corporation of New York-funded effort to "bridge the gap" between policy and academics. Based in Colorado, OBP works with public and private stakeholders to find solutions to global maritime piracy. The OBP team is developing an agent-based model to accurately forecast the resources and commitments needed from international stakeholders to continue combating piracy off the Somali Coast for the foreseeable future.


Clausewitz

A Role for the Warrior-Scholar?

By PhD student Sarah Bakhtiari

January 12, 2016

Denver Dialogues— Last Tuesday, Celestino "Tino" Perez made the case that the U.S. Army's first responsibility may be ground combat, but fulfilling that mission ethically requires military members to understand the causal relations of political violence (like these from Erica Chenoweth, Barbara Walter, Stathis Kalyvas, Monica Duffy Toft). I couldn't agree more—and would suggest that this applies service-wide, to the Air Force, Navy, Marines, and anyone, really (including contractors) who participate in U.S. war efforts. Developing a force that understands the nexus between political violence and political objectives would undoubtedly improve America's capacity for careful, intentional military strategy—the type that is considerate of the battlefield effects at the tactical, operational, and strategic levels of war, and how those three feed into and interactively inform near-, mid-, and long-term political outcomes. 


Best Defense

Why Leadership Will Either Make or Break Combat Integration in the Marine Corps

By Sié Fellow alumnus and PhD student Kyleanne Hunter, with Kate Germano and Jeannette Haynie

January 11, 2016

The Best Defense, Foreign Policy— Kyleanne Hunter showed up to Officer Candidate School eager to become a Marine. She had been training for months, honing her physical skill and tactical knowledge. After running the first physical fitness test, clocking in at under 17-minutes for the 3-mile run, she was proud of her accomplishments. However, upon returning to her barracks, she was met with a ton of "just who do you think you are? You know the female standards is 21 minutes!" from her platoon commander. From that moment forward, rather than being encouraged to excel and reach her personal potential, Kyleanne was reminded that there are lower expectations for women, and that a Marine is in no place to question those expectations.


Secretary of the NavyWords Mean Things: The Beginnings of De-Gendering Democratic Citizenship

By Sié Fellow alumnus and PhD student Kyleanne Hunter

January 7, 2016

Duck of Minerva —Yesterday it was discovered that Secretary of the Navy Ray Mabus has ordered the Marine Corps to both integrate their enlisted training and to create gender-neutral job titles. This news comes on the heels of a passionate battle of words surrounding the integration of women into all Military Occupational Specialties (MOS). This latest victory for those who recognize the value of women's service is not limited to those in the service. It is a large step forward for all women in America. 


Peshmerga womenA Woman Did That? Thoughts on Women Perpetrators of Violence

By Sié Fellow Trishna Rana with Marie Berry

December 17, 2015

Political Violence @ a Glance When news of another mass shooting, this time in San Bernardino, California, began trickling into social media on the morning of December 2nd, we had two immediate reactions. First, an all too common, remorseful afterthought: how many more lives will be lost before ordinary citizens and policymakers in this country finally address the problem of gun violence? The second reaction was anxiety about the identities of the shooters. While roughly two-thirds of mass shooters are white men, we worried that if Muslim men had carried out the killings there would likely be an increase in Islamophobic rhetoric, which would drown out any space for inward reflection.

What we weren’t prepared to discover, however, was a 29-year-old woman leading the carnage—a mother who left her six-month old baby with relatives while she orchestrated a massacre with her American husband.


San Bernadino vigil, AP Images

Did ISIS Plan or Just "Inspire" the San Bernardino attacks? The Difference is Important

By Sié Fellow alumna Jennifer Williams

December 9, 2015

Vox —Sometime on Wednesday, December 2, a woman named Tashfeen Malik posted a message to Facebook announcing her allegiance to Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the leader of ISIS. Shortly after that, she and her husband, Syed Farook, began their attack in the California town of San Bernardino where they lived, ultimately killing 14. Her online pledge is one of several signs that the San Bernardino shooters had been inspired by ISIS's jihadist propaganda. While it is possible that evidence will emerge showing that ISIS had directly ordered or facilitated the attack, so far it has not. It appears that this may have been an attack by so-called "lone wolves" inspired but not directed by ISIS. 


Mexico CartelMapping the Network Effects of a Militarized Policy in Mexico

By Research Assistant Lee Cotton and Post-Doctoral Research Fellow Cassy Dorff

December 8, 2015

Political Violence @ a Glance —Drug-trafficking organizations (DTOs) have long been active throughout Latin America. A rise in cocaine and marijuana production shifted critical foci of power into regions of Colombia during the 1970s and then into Mexico during the 1990s. It was during the early 2000s, however, that US-Mexican policy towards drug trafficking took a dramatic turn from previous decades. In an upcoming policy brief soon to be released by the Sié Center, we use actor-coded event data to map the effects of this policy change on the dynamics of violence between DTOs and government actors. 


Forced Marriage To End Forced Marriage, We Must Work with the Whole Community

By Sié Fellow alumnus Kate Castenson and faculty member Oliver Kaplan

November 2, 2015

CNNWith the rise of violent extremist groups such as Boko Haram in Nigeria and ISIS in the Middle East, horrific descriptions of young girls being kidnapped and forced to marry militants have made headlines. But the problem of forced marriage is far more widespread. As a persistent form of modern day slavery, forced marriage is an embedded cultural practice that is found in a variety of countries. Forced marriage even occurs among immigrant groups in the United States and Europe. Fortunately, new approaches offer hope for putting an end this practice.


WallsWalls as a Nonviolent Strategy in Armed Conflict

By Sié Fellow Natalie Southwick and faculty member Oliver Kaplan

October 2015

Korbel Policy Brief —This brief examines the use of walls by nonviolent community activists to protect themselves during armed conflicts. Thinking of walls in conflicts may summon images of the West Bank, but the use of walls extends far beyond the Middle East. Whether constructed and enforced by state institutions, international organizations, or civilian groups, walls are more than physical barriers. Their social significance reinforces their physical presence and they can therefore be powerful symbols that demarcate physical, political, social, and humanitarian boundaries. While they can keep populations safe, they can also reinforce divisions between them.


Burkina FasoWhy This Week's Coup in Burkina Faso Might Not Last

By Sié Fellow alumnus and current PhD research fellow Jonathan Pinckney

September 18, 2015

Foreign Policy —On September 16, during a cabinet meeting at the Presidential Palace in Ouagadougou, the capital of Burkina Faso, soldiers with the elite Presidential Guard unit (known by its French initials RSP) broke into the room and placed interim President Michael Kafando and Prime Minister Isaac Zida under arrest. After several hours of uncertainty, an RSP spokesman announced that it had overthrown the administration and assumed control of the country.